Best prediction
Home Win
Arouca vs Estrela
69.2%Confidence
Best odd2.09
Portugal · Primeira LigaLive data
Arouca
Sun, 11 Oct 2026
1:0
FT
Estrela
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
73.8%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.3%Probability
2-1Correct score
23.5%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
40%
1.2
Avg goals scored
2
1
Avg goals conceded
1.7
70%
Over 1.5
90%
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win69.2%
Draw3.9%
Away win26.9%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-128.2%
2-123.5%
1-117.6%
2-016.5%
1-014.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 69.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 73.8% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Arouca matches and 10 recent Estrela matches were compared.