Best prediction
No Draw
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
73.4%Confidence
Best odd—
World · UEFA Nations LeagueLive data
Azerbaijan
Sun, 04 Oct 2026
1:0
FT
Lithuania
1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score3-0
Over 2.5Total goals
59.5%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
52.1%Probability
3-0Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
20%
Win rate
30%
0.7
Avg goals scored
1.2
1.5
Avg goals conceded
1.5
80%
Over 1.5
100%
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win36.9%
Draw26.6%
Away win36.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-025%
1-021.4%
0-121.4%
1-117.9%
2-114.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
No Draw leads the model with 73.4% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 59.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 52.1%.
Data sample
10 recent Azerbaijan matches and 10 recent Lithuania matches were compared.