Best prediction
Home Win
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
53%Confidence
Best odd—
Germany · Super CupLive data
Borussia Dortmund
Sat, 22 Aug 2026
1:2
FT
Bayern München
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
72%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.2%Probability
2-1Correct score
27.6%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
60%
1.7
Avg goals scored
2.6
1.1
Avg goals conceded
1.7
70%
Over 1.5
90%
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%
30%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win53%
Draw7%
Away win40%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-127.6%
0-123.7%
2-017.6%
1-116.1%
1-015.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 53% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 72% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.2%.
Data sample
10 recent Borussia Dortmund matches and 10 recent Bayern München matches were compared.