Best prediction
Home Win
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
72.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Club Nacional
Sun, 20 Sep 2026
3:2
FT
Defensor Sporting
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
52.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
60.6%Probability
2-1Correct score
15.2%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
20%
1.1
Avg goals scored
0.8
1.1
Avg goals conceded
1.6
70%
Over 1.5
80%
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win72.1%
Draw4.5%
Away win23.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.6%
1-022.8%
0-118.3%
1-117.1%
2-115.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 72.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 52.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 60.6%.
Data sample
10 recent Club Nacional matches and 10 recent Defensor Sporting matches were compared.