Best prediction
Home Win
Club Nacional vs Progreso
82.3%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Club Nacional
Sun, 02 Aug 2026
2:1
FT
Progreso
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score3-0
Over 2.5Total goals
62.1%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
55%Probability
3-0Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
30%
1.1
Avg goals scored
0.8
1
Avg goals conceded
1.4
60%
Over 1.5
70%
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win82.3%
Draw4.3%
Away win13.4%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-025%
1-021.4%
0-121.4%
1-117.9%
2-114.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 82.3% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 62.1% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 55%.
Data sample
10 recent Club Nacional matches and 10 recent Progreso matches were compared.