Best prediction
Home Win
Excelsior vs Groningen
54.6%Confidence
Best odd2.66
Netherlands · EredivisieLive data
Excelsior
Sun, 11 Oct 2026
1:5
FT
Groningen
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
88%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
79.8%Probability
2-1Correct score
28%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
40%
2.8
Avg goals scored
1.6
1.4
Avg goals conceded
1.7
100%
Over 1.5
80%
100%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win54.6%
Draw10.7%
Away win34.8%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-128%
2-021.8%
1-018.7%
0-116.8%
1-114.8%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 54.6% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 88% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 79.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Excelsior matches and 10 recent Groningen matches were compared.