Best prediction
Home Win
Ilves vs Stjarnan
69.4%Confidence
Best odd—
World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLive data
Ilves
Thu, 30 Jul 2026
1:0
PEN
Stjarnan
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
87%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
86%Probability
2-1Correct score
28.6%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
40%
1.9
Avg goals scored
2
1.1
Avg goals conceded
2.3
60%
Over 1.5
90%
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win69.4%
Draw4.6%
Away win26%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-128.6%
2-020%
0-119.1%
1-017.2%
1-115.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 69.4% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 87% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 86%.
Data sample
10 recent Ilves matches and 10 recent Stjarnan matches were compared.