Best prediction
Home Win
Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso
62%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Liverpool Montevideo
Sat, 03 Oct 2026
3:2
FT
Progreso
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score2-0
Under 2.5Total goals
55.3%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
62.8%Probability
2-0Correct score
26.3%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
50%
1.6
Avg goals scored
0.9
0.6
Avg goals conceded
1.1
60%
Over 1.5
50%
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win62%
Draw6.5%
Away win31.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.3%
1-022.6%
2-118.8%
1-116.1%
0-116.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 62% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 55.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 62.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Liverpool Montevideo matches and 10 recent Progreso matches were compared.