Millwall vs Derby: Result & Match Statistics

31 Oct 2026 · Championship

England · Championship
Live data

Millwall

Sat, 31 Oct 2026
4:1
FT

Derby

1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Best prediction
Home Win

Millwall vs Derby

72.5%Confidence
Best odd1.68
Other key markets
Over 2.5Total goals
64.3%Probability
Odds1.85
YesBoth teams to score
60.6%Probability
Odds1.80
2-1Correct score
16.4%Model confidence
Odds—
Team comparison
MillwallBased on last 10 matches
DerbyBased on last 10 matches
10
Matches analysed
10
20%
Win rate
10%
1.4
Avg goals scored
0.7
2
Avg goals conceded
1.7
80%
Over 1.5
80%
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win72.5%
Draw4.6%
Away win22.9%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-028.7%
1-024.6%
2-116.4%
1-116.1%
0-114.1%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal

Home Win leads the model with 72.5% confidence.

Goals outlook

Over 2.5 is selected at 64.3% model probability.

BTTS outlook

Both teams to score: Yes at 60.6%.

Data sample

10 recent Millwall matches and 10 recent Derby matches were compared.