Best prediction
Home Win
Netherlands vs Serbia
57.4%Confidence
Best odd—
Netherlands vs Serbia: Result & Match Statistics
04 Oct 2026 · UEFA Nations League
World · UEFA Nations LeagueLive data
Netherlands
Sun, 04 Oct 2026
2:1
FT
Serbia
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
73.8%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
69.2%Probability
2-1Correct score
17.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
30%
1.9
Avg goals scored
1
1.2
Avg goals conceded
2.2
90%
Over 1.5
100%
60%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win57.4%
Draw11.3%
Away win31.4%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-031.3%
1-026.9%
2-117.9%
1-114.9%
0-19%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 57.4% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 73.8% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 69.2%.
Data sample
10 recent Netherlands matches and 10 recent Serbia matches were compared.