Best prediction
Home Win
Penarol vs Cerro Largo
57.5%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Penarol
Sat, 01 Aug 2026
3:0
FT
Cerro Largo
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score1-0
Under 2.5Total goals
72.8%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
56%Probability
1-0Correct score
18.9%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
40%
1.4
Avg goals scored
1
0.8
Avg goals conceded
0.7
70%
Over 1.5
40%
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
30%
Clean sheets
50%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win57.5%
Draw16.6%
Away win25.9%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-122.7%
2-022.1%
1-018.9%
2-118.9%
1-117.4%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 57.5% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 72.8% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 56%.
Data sample
10 recent Penarol matches and 10 recent Cerro Largo matches were compared.