Best prediction
Home Win
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting
62.6%Confidence
Best odd2.58
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: Result & Match Statistics
01 Nov 2026 · Primera División
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Progreso
Sun, 01 Nov 2026
0:2
FT
Defensor Sporting
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
64.3%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.3%Probability
2-1Correct score
25.8%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
20%
1.3
Avg goals scored
1.4
1
Avg goals conceded
1.8
60%
Over 1.5
70%
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win62.6%
Draw9.8%
Away win27.6%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-125.8%
2-022.5%
1-019.3%
0-117.2%
1-115.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 62.6% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 64.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Progreso matches and 10 recent Defensor Sporting matches were compared.