Best prediction
Away Win
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo
54.2%Confidence
Best odd1.98
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Progreso
Sat, 26 Sep 2026
2:1
FT
Racing Montevideo
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsUnder 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score0-1
Under 2.5Total goals
71.1%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
62.8%Probability
0-1Correct score
18.3%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
40%
0.7
Avg goals scored
1
1.2
Avg goals conceded
0.7
50%
Over 1.5
40%
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean sheets
50%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win26.5%
Draw19.2%
Away win54.2%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.6%
1-022.8%
0-118.3%
1-117.1%
2-115.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 54.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Under 2.5 is selected at 71.1% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 62.8%.
Data sample
10 recent Progreso matches and 10 recent Racing Montevideo matches were compared.