Best prediction
No Draw
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol
91.1%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Racing Montevideo
Sun, 04 Oct 2026
0:1
FT
Penarol
1X2 predictionNo Draw
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSNo
Correct score3-0
Over 2.5Total goals
55.3%Probability
NoBoth teams to score
54.3%Probability
3-0Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
70%
1
Avg goals scored
2.2
0.8
Avg goals conceded
0.7
40%
Over 1.5
80%
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win42.6%
Draw8.9%
Away win48.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-129.2%
2-124.3%
1-117.7%
2-015.5%
1-013.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
No Draw leads the model with 91.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 55.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: No at 54.3%.
Data sample
10 recent Racing Montevideo matches and 10 recent Penarol matches were compared.