Spain · La Liga
Live data

Real Madrid

Sat, 12 Sep 2026
4:1
FT

Rayo Vallecano

1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Best prediction
Home Win

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

84.9%Confidence
Best odd—
Other key markets
Over 2.5Total goals
78.6%Probability
Odds—
YesBoth teams to score
64.9%Probability
Odds—
2-1Correct score
25.9%Model confidence
Odds—
Team comparison
Real MadridBased on last 10 matches
Rayo VallecanoBased on last 10 matches
10
Matches analysed
10
80%
Win rate
30%
2.4
Avg goals scored
1.4
0.8
Avg goals conceded
2.1
80%
Over 1.5
90%
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean sheets
0%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win84.9%
Draw3.5%
Away win11.6%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-125.9%
2-025.9%
1-022.2%
1-114.2%
0-111.9%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal

Home Win leads the model with 84.9% confidence.

Goals outlook

Over 2.5 is selected at 78.6% model probability.

BTTS outlook

Both teams to score: Yes at 64.9%.

Data sample

10 recent Real Madrid matches and 10 recent Rayo Vallecano matches were compared.