Best prediction
Away Win
Derby vs Bolton
82.5%Confidence
Best odd2.75
Derby vs Bolton: Prediction & Match Statistics
06 Nov 2026 · Championship
England · ChampionshipLive data
Derby
Fri, 06 Nov 2026
20:00
NS
Bolton
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Over 2.5Total goals
59.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
69.2%Probability
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
0%
Win rate
40%
0.6
Avg goals scored
1.5
2.2
Avg goals conceded
2.1
80%
Over 1.5
70%
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean sheets
30%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win11.5%
Draw6%
Away win82.5%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
0-130.9%
2-120.6%
1-118.6%
2-016%
1-013.8%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 82.5% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 59.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 69.2%.
Data sample
10 recent Derby matches and 10 recent Bolton matches were compared.