soccer tips - BetPlusWin Betting Tips

Free Soccer Predictions

July 1, 2022 by Bet And Win

Free Soccer Predictions 01.07.2022 Bet and Win Free Soccer Tips – 1×2 Predictions – Over/Under Predictions – BTTS Betting Predictions, TOP Daily Football Predictions League Fixture Tip Finn Harps vs Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5 Fylkir vs Afturelding Over 2.5 Slavia Mozyr vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk Over 2.5 Horn vs Stripfing BTTS Fredericia vs Vejle BTTS Bohemians vs Derry City BTTS KTP vs Mikkelin 1 Santa Cruz vs U. Sucre 1 Turan vs Tobol 2 TOP Daily Football Predictions Information is essential to live bettors, and this is even more important than wasting time looking for valuable soccer betting tips. By getting valuable and reliable information, bettors get a better perspective of the outcome of the game and the profit they get. Below is the reason why.

Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis

August 28, 2018 by Bet And Win

29.08.2018 Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction Salzburg (Aut) – FK Crvena Zvezda (Srb) 27.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | FK Crvena Zvezda are undefeated in their last 12 matches Salzburg are undefeated in their last 13 matches. FK Crvena Zvezda have 3 consecutive draws. H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: Salzburg (Aut) 2018-08-25 Rheindorf Altach Salzburg 2 : 3 W 2018-08-18 Salzburg Hartberg 2 : 0 W 2018-08-11 Salzburg Austria Wien 2 : 0 W 2018-08-04 Mattersburg Salzburg 0 : 2 W 2018-07-29 Salzburg LASK 3 : 1 W Last 5 matches played for: FK Crvena zvezda (Srb) 2018-08-25 Crvena Zvezda Čukarički 2 : 1 W 2018-08-12 Crvena Zvezda Spartak Subotica 3 : 0 W 2018-08-04 Voždovac Crvena Zvezda 1 : 2 W 2018-07-29 Crvena Zvezda Radnički Niš 2 : 0 W 2018-07-20 Crvena Zvezda Dinamo Vranje 3 : 0 W Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) Salzburg (Aut) Won Draw Lost (13/15)(2/15)(0/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (8/15)(7/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (4/15)(11/15) Scored Failed to score (13/15)(2/15) FK Crvena zvezda (Srb) Won Draw Lost (7/15)(8/15)(0/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (5/15)(10/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (4/15)(11/15) Scored Failed to score (9/15)(6/15) Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between Salzburg (Aut) – FK Crvena Zvezda (Srb) Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions Salzburg (Aut) – FK Crvena Zvezda (Srb) 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 1 yes Over 2.5 29.08.2018 Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction PSV (Ned) – BATE (Blr) 29.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: PSV (Ned) 2016-12-06 PSV Rostov 0 : 0 D 2016-11-23 Atlético Madrid PSV 2 : 0 L 2016-11-01 PSV Bayern München 1 : 2 L 2016-10-19 Bayern München PSV 4 : 1 L 2016-09-28 Rostov PSV 2 : 2 D Last 5 matches played for: BATE (Blr) 2018-08-25 BATE Vitebsk 1 : 1 D 2018-07-20 BATE Minsk 2 : 0 W 2018-07-14 Smolevichy-STI BATE 2 : 3 W 2018-07-06 BATE Torpedo BelAZ 2 : 1 W 2018-06-29 Luch Minsk BATE 1 : 2 W Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) PSV (Ned) Won Draw Lost (7/15)(8/15)(0/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (9/15)(6/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (9/15)(6/15) Scored Failed to score (11/15)(4/15) BATE (Blr) Won Draw Lost (6/15)(8/15)(1/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (5/15)(10/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (8/15)(7/15) Scored Failed to score (10/15)(5/15) Wednesday Soccer betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between PSV (Ned) – BATE (Blr) Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions PSV (Ned) – BATE (Blr) 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 1 / Under 2.5

Sunday Best betting tips & analysis

August 25, 2018 by Bet And Win

26.08.2018 Sunday Best betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Sunday Best betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction SG Dynamo Dresden – Heidenheim 26.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | SG Dynamo Dresden is ranked on the 11th place in the standings with 3 points, 2 goals scored and 2 goals received in the last 2 leaguegames. Heidenheim is ranked on the 13th place in the standings with 2 points, 2 goals scored and 2 goals received in the last 2 leaguegames. H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: SG Dynamo Dresden & Heidenheim 2018-03-09 Dynamo Dresden Heidenheim 3 : 2 / 2017-10-01 Heidenheim Dynamo Dresden 0 : 2 / 2017-04-05 Dynamo Dresden Heidenheim 2 : 1 / 2016-10-22 Heidenheim Dynamo Dresden 0 : 0 / Last 5 matches played for: SG Dynamo Dresden 2018-08-11 Arminia Bielefeld Dynamo Dresden 2 : 1 L 2018-08-06 Dynamo Dresden MSV Duisburg 1 : 0 W 2018-05-13 Dynamo Dresden Union Berlin 0 : 1 L 2018-05-06 Erzgebirge Aue Dynamo Dresden 0 : 0 D 2018-04-28 Dynamo Dresden Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 : 2 L Last 5 matches played for: Heidenheim 2018-08-12 Holstein Kiel Heidenheim 1 : 1 D 2018-08-05 Heidenheim Arminia Bielefeld 1 : 1 D 2018-05-13 Heidenheim Greuther Fürth 1 : 1 D 2018-05-06 Kaiserslautern Heidenheim 1 : 0 L 2018-04-29 Heidenheim Sandhausen 2 : 0 W Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) SG Dynamo Dresden Won Draw Lost (6/15)(3/15)(6/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (10/15)(5/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (8/15)(7/15) Scored Failed to score (12/15)(3/15) Heidenheim Won Draw Lost (5/15)(8/15)(2/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (5/15)(10/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (9/15)(6/15) Scored Failed to score (11/15)(4/15) Sunday Best betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between SG Dynamo Dresden – Heidenheim Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions SG Dynamo Dresden – Heidenheim 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 1 / Over 2.5 26.08.2018 Sunday Best betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Sunday Best betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction Midtjylland – Randers FC 26.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | Midtjylland is ranked on the 3th place in the standings with 11 points, 11 goals scored and 5 goals received in the last 6 leaguegames. Randers FC is ranked on the 6th place in the standings with 9 points, 8 goals scored and 6 goals received in the last 6 leaguegames. H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: Midtjylland & Randers FC 2017-12-11 Randers Midtjylland 0 : 4 / 2017-07-30 Midtjylland Randers 2 : 1 / 2017-02-24 Randers Midtjylland 0 : 2 / 2016-07-18 Midtjylland Randers 2 : 2 / Last 5 matches played for: Midtjylland 2018-08-19 OB Midtjylland 1 : 1 D 2018-08-12 Midtjylland Horsens 3 : 0 W 2018-08-04 Vejle Midtjylland 1 : 3 W 2018-07-28 Midtjylland Esbjerg 3 : 1 W 2018-07-20 AaB Midtjylland 2 : 1 L Last 5 matches played for: Randers FC 2018-08-19 Randers Hobro 3 : 0 W 2018-08-12 Randers AGF 0 : 0 D 2018-08-04 Esbjerg Randers 3 : 3 D 2018-07-29 Randers OB 1 : 0 W 2018-07-22 Horsens Randers 1 : 1 D Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) Midtjylland Won Draw Lost (6/15)(6/15)(3/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (10/15)(5/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (11/15)(4/15) Scored Failed to score (13/15)(2/15) Randers FC Won Draw Lost (6/15)(5/15)(4/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (8/15)(7/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (9/15)(6/15) Scored Failed to score (11/15)(4/15) Sunday Best betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between Midtjylland – Randers FC Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions Midtjylland – Randers FC 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 1 / Over 2.5

Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis

August 24, 2018 by Bet And Win

25.08.2018 Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction Salernitana – Palermo 25.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | Salernitana is ranked on the 12th place in the standings with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 0 goals received in the last 0 leaguegames. Palermo is ranked on the 14th place in the standings with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 0 goals received in the last 0 leaguegames. H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: Salernitana & Palermo 2018-05-18 Salernitana Palermo 0 : 2 / 2017-12-28 Palermo Salernitana 3 : 0 / Last 5 matches played for: Salernitana 2018-05-18 Salernitana Palermo 0 : 2 L 2018-05-12 Foggia Salernitana 1 : 0 L 2018-05-05 Salernitana Virtus Entella 1 : 0 W 2018-05-01 Perugia Salernitana 1 : 1 D 2018-04-28 Salernitana Brescia 4 : 2 W Last 5 matches played for: Palermo 2018-05-18 Salernitana Palermo 0 : 2 W 2018-05-12 Palermo Cesena 0 : 0 D 2018-05-05 Ternana Palermo 2 : 3 W 2018-04-30 Palermo Bari 1908 1 : 1 D 2018-04-27 Venezia Palermo 3 : 0 L Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) Salernitana Won Draw Lost (5/15)(6/15)(4/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (5/15)(10/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (9/15)(6/15) Scored Failed to score (10/15)(5/15) Palermo Won Draw Lost (6/15)(6/15)(3/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (6/15)(9/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (7/15)(8/15) Scored Failed to score (10/15)(5/15) Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between Salernitana – Palermo Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions Salernitana – Palermo 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 2 / Under 2.5 25.08.2018 Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis Our predictions for matches are based on a large number of factors such as direct meetings, last matches, lineup, standings and so on. By visiting our website betpluswin.com you will increase your winning chances. Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis Solobet Betting analysis & tips today and tomorrow predictions 1×2 Solobet football prediction for tomorrow, victor prediction, accurate football prediction, best football prediction site free, solo prediction, topbet prediction tomorrow predictions, prediction tomorrow, soccer 13 predictions for tomorrow, top bet prediction, topbet predict, all soccer predictions tomorrow, correct score tomorrow tomorrow prediction, top prediction, tomorrow football prediction, victor predict, accurate football predictions for free, best,predicte, betloy prediction football prediction tomorrow, football prediction.com, prediction football tomorrow, predictions for tomorrow soccer matches, sure wins for tomorrow tomorrow matches predictions, tomorrow soccer prediction Carlisle – Crewe 25.08.2018 |Tip of the Day Over Under, Free Daily betting tips & analysis, H2H Statistic Predictions, Bet and Win Predictions Football, top btts predictions for today | Carlisle is ranked on the 6th place in the standings with 7 points, 6 goals scored and 6 goals received in the last 4 leaguegames. Crewe is ranked on the 16th place in the standings with 4 points, 6 goals scored and 7 goals received in the last 4 leaguegames. H2H Statistic and Predictions Last 5 matches played for: Carlisle & Crewe 2018-01-13 Carlisle United Crewe Alexandra 1 : 0 / 2017-09-23 Crewe Alexandra Carlisle United 0 : 5 / 2017-03-25 Carlisle United Crewe Alexandra 0 : 2 / 2016-12-26 Crewe Alexandra Carlisle United 1 : 1 / Last 5 matches played for: Carlisle 2018-08-21 Carlisle United Port Vale 2 : 1 W 2018-08-18 Cheltenham Town Carlisle United 0 : 1 W 2018-08-11 Carlisle United Northampton Town 2 : 2 D 2018-08-04 Exeter City Carlisle United 3 : 1 L 2018-05-05 Carlisle United Newport County 1 : 1 D Last 5 matches played for: Crewe 2018-08-21 Colchester United Crewe Alexandra 6 : 0 L 2018-08-18 Crewe Alexandra Milton Keynes Dons 0 : 0 D 2018-08-11 Newport County Crewe Alexandra 1 : 0 L 2018-08-04 Crewe Alexandra Morecambe 6 : 0 W 2018-05-05 Crewe Alexandra Cheltenham Town 2 : 1 W Last 15 Matches (Win, Lose, Draw, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS YES/NO, Scored/Failed to score ) Carlisle Won Draw Lost (8/15)(4/15)(3/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (8/15)(7/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (9/15)(6/15) Scored Failed to score (13/15)(2/15) Crewe Won Draw Lost (5/15)(5/15)(5/15) Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (5/15)(10/15) BTTS YES BTTS NO (5/15)(10/15) Scored Failed to score (8/15)(7/15) Saturday Free H2H betting tips & analysis, Statistic and Best Tips, Best Daily betting tips and analysis for match between Carlisle – Crewe Solo Prediction Mathematical football predictions Carlisle – Crewe 1×2 Both Teams to Score Under/Over 1 yes Over 2.5

MultiBet Soccer Predictions 23.08.2018

August 23, 2018August 22, 2018 by Bet And Win

MultiBet Soccer Predictions We have many online resources so that you can find and make the perfect bet FULL TIME SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team Our Prediction 23.08.2018 18:00 Torpedo Kutaisi (Geo) Ludogorets (Bul) 2 23.08.2018 19:00 Sigma Olomouc (Cze) Sevilla (Esp) 2 23.08.2018 19:00 APOEL (Cyp) FC Astana (Kaz) 1 HT – FT SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team HT -FT Prediction 23.08.2018 18:00 Zenit Petersburg (Rus) Molde (Nor) 1-1 23.08.2018 20:00 Atalanta (Ita) FC Copenhagen (Den) X-1 23.08.2018 20:45 Copenhagen (Den) Shkendija (Mac) 1-1 GOALS OVER / UNDER SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team Over / Under Prediction 23.08.2018 20:30 Rapid Vienna (Aut) FCSB (Rou) Over 2.5 23.08.2018 18:30 Akropolis Orebro Over 2.5 23.08.2018 20:30 FK Zorya Luhansk (Ukr) Leipzig (Ger) Over 2.5 BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team BTS Prediction 23.08.2018 19:15 Malmo FF (Swe) Midtjylland (Den) BTS – YES 23.08.2018 20:45 Gent (Bel) Bordeaux (Fra) BTS – YES 23.08.2018 20:45 Scunthorpe Fleetwood Town BTS – YES MultiBet Soccer Predictions

MultiBet Free Soccer Predictions 22.08.2018

August 22, 2018August 21, 2018 by Bet And Win

MultiBet Free Soccer Predictions FULL TIME SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team Our Prediction 22.08.2018 22:00 U. Magdalena Fortaleza 1 22.08.2018 18:30 Naestved Koge 2 22.08.2018 18:00 Kolding IF Sydvest 1 HT – FT SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team HT -FT Prediction 22.08.2018 18:00 Slagelse B&I Avarta 1-1 22.08.2018 19:00 BK Frem Bronshoj 2-2 22.08.2018 12:00 Urawa Verdy 1-1 GOALS OVER / UNDER SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team Over / Under Prediction 22.08.2018 12:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shonan Over 2.5 22.08.2018 19:00 Steinbach Haiger Saarbrucken Over 2.5 22.08.2018 20:45 Blackburn Reading Under 2.5 BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE SOCCER PREDICTIONS Starting Home Team Away Team BTS Prediction 22.08.2018 21:00 Stoke Wigan BTS – YES 22.08.2018 12:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shonan BTS – YES 22.08.2018 20:45 Scunthorpe Fleetwood Town BTS – YES

Uruguay vs Russia Soccer Preview-Predictions

June 25, 2018 by Bet And Win

Uruguay vs Russia Soccer Preview-Predictions The FIFA World Cup is always decided by fine margins, so finishing up as group winners rather than runner-ups can be potentially a crucial factor in the long run. The top-of-the-table contest in Group A is looking forward to being hosted when Uruguay take on hosts Russia with the title of ‘group winner’ at stake. A draw would see Russia finish in first due to their superior goal difference, while a win in order to finish top of the group is needed to Uruguay. Having yet to concede a goal at Russia 2018, Uruguay go into the game, seeing off Saudi Arabia and Egypt both by 1-0 score lines. La Celeste’s defensive discipline with the attacking threat that Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez deliver makes Uruguay the trickiest opponent that Russia has faced so far at the tournament. Possible line-ups: Uruguay: Martin Caceres, Jose Gimenez, Diego Godin, Diego Laxalt, Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani, Carlos Sanchez, Lucas Torreira, Rodrigo Bentancur, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Fernando Muslera. Russia: Mario Fernandes, Ilya Kutepov, Sergey Ignashevich, Yuri Zhirkov, Aleksandr Samedov, Aleksandr Golovin, Denis Cheryshev, Igor Akinfeev, Roman Zobnin, Yuri Gazinksy, Artem Dzyuba.

The principles of Poisson Distribution

August 19, 2018September 21, 2017 by Bet And Win

Soccer Betting Resources The easiest and simplest way to calculate the most likely score in soccer is to use the Poisson Distribution and bettors can use this method to make a reliable bet. The calculation of the Attack/Defence strength is in detail explained below and it is used to get the Poisson Distribution values. The concept behind the Poisson Distribution is purely mathematics and it turns the mean averages into a probability. If we use this method to calculate the probability of Manchester City scoring a goal, when their average is 1.7 goals per game, we will get that City will score 0 goals 18.3 % of the time, 1 goal 31 % of the time, 2 goals 26.4 % of the time and 3 goals 15 % of the time. How to calculate the score-line probabilities using the Poisson Distribution After we are done calculating the “Attack Strength” and “Defence Strength” for each team and after comparing them by calculating the average number of goals that are likely to be scored by each team during that game, we can calculate the score-line that we are most likely to get in a match. In order to calculate the Attack Strength and Defence Strength, a representative data range is crucial. If the data range is too long, then it will be useless because it will not represent the current strength of the team. Too short data range on the other hand will skew the data. Ideally, the Poisson Distribution will make the best use of the data of the 38 games played by each team in the 2015/16 EPL season. Calculating the Attack Strength We need to determine the average number of goals scored per team, per home game and per away game, using the last season’s results, and by this we can start calculating the Attack Strength. Therefore: total number of goals scored last season divided by the number of games played, as shown below: Total goals in a season scored at home divided by the number of games (in one season) Total goals in a season scored away divided by the number of games (in one season) For example, in the English Premier League of 2015/16, there were 567/380 at home and 459/380 away, and this equals to an average of 1.492 goals per game at home and 1.207 goals away. Therefore, “Attack Strength” is the ratio of a team’s average and the league average. Calculating Defence Strength The next value that we need is the average number of goals a team concedes. This value we already have because the number of goals a team scores is actually the number of goals the opposite team concedes. Therefore: Average number of goals conceded at home: 1.207 Average number of goals conceded away: 1.492 The Defence Strength is the ration of a team’s average and the league average. Attack Strength and Defence Strength of Tottenham Hotspur and Everton Case 1: Tottenham’s goals Tottenham’s Attack Strength Number of goals scored at home last season by the home team (Tottenham: 35) divided by the number of home games (35/19): 1.842. 842 divided by the season’s average home goals scored per game 1.492 equals 1.235 and this is the Attack Strength. (35/19) / (567/380) = 1.235 Everton’s Defence Strength Number of goals conceded away by the away team (Everton) last season (25) divided by the number of away games (25/19): 1.315. 315 divided by the season’s average goals conceded by an away team per game (1.315/1.492) equals 0.881 and this is the Defence Strength. (25/19) / (567/380) = 0.881 In order to calculate the likely number of goals Tottenham might score, we can use the formula as follows: 1.235 x 0.881 x 1.492 = 1.623 where: Tottenham’s Attack Strength is multiplied by Everton’s Defence Strength and the average number of home goals in the Premier League. Case 2: Everton’s goals In this case, we will just replace the average number of home goals with the average number of away goals: Everton’s Attack Strength: (24/19) / (459/380) = 1.046 Tottenham’s Defence Strength: (15/19) / (459/380) = 0.653 The likely number of goals Everton might score is done in the following way: Everton’s Attack Strength multiplied by Tottenham’s Defence Strength and the average number of goals in the Premier League: 1.046 x 0.653 x 1.207 = 0.824 Using Poisson Distribution to predict various outcomes A 100 % of probability is distributed across a range of goal outcomes for each side by using this mathematical formula created by the French mathematician Simeon Denis Poisson. Poisson Distribution Formula: P(x; μ) = (e– μ) (μx) / x! There is an easier way to calculate by using a Poisson Distribution Calculator. All we need to do is enter the different event occurrences – in our case goals outcomes from 0-5 – and the expected occurrences which are the likelihood of each team scoring – in our example Tottenham at 1.623 is their average rate of success, and Everton 0.824; the calculator will output the probability of the score for the given outcome. Tottenham vs. Everton – Poisson Distribution Goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 Tottenham 19.73% 32.02% 25.99% 14.06% 5.07% 1.85% Everton 43.86% 36.14% 14.89% 4.09% 0.84% 0.14% According to this, Tottenham will fail to score with a chance of 19.73, but there is a 32.02% chance they will score a single goal and a 25.99% chance they’ll score two. On the other hand, Everton, has a chance of 43.86% not to score, 36.14% to score one and 14.89% to score two. The probability one team to score five goals is 1.85% for Tottenham or 0.14% for Everton – or 2% for either team to score five goals. In mathematical terms, both scores are independent from each other. We can see that the expected score is 1-0 – pairing the most probable outcomes for each team. If we multiply those two probabilities together, we will get the probability of the 1-0 outcome – (0.3202*0.4386) =0.1404 or 14.04%. The above mentioned … Read more

What are the limitations of a predictive model in Soccer betting?

August 19, 2018September 20, 2017 by Bet And Win

Predictive model Soccer betting Predictions based on probabilities contain many restrains and these should always be taken into account when using predictive models to place bets in soccer. Below you may read more on the limitations that models contain. One of the disadvantages of the probabilistic predictions when they are made to guess the outcome of one match is the fact that they one can never know how correct is the prediction. Not even after the result is known. Initially it was planned to apply statistical analysis to baseball and this was written by Nate Silver, which became very popular in 2008 at the presidential election because he correctly forecast the results of 49 out of 50 states. Swings towards one candidate or party are mostly universal and consistent throughout a country; however, this feat was impressive. Therefore, if the trend is correctly identified, constituencies or states can fall as predictably as dominoes. In recognising this, few if any bookmakers would be prepared to accept accumulative bets on a single party to win multiple seats at a general or presidential election. At the World Cup in Brazil, Silver much confident that the hosts Brazil will win the World Cup much more than the betting public. However, they started loosing confidence even more at the start of the competition and this confidence was decreasing even more during the tournament because of certain events like Neymar getting injured and Thiago Silva getting suspended. After Germany won over Brazil with 7-1, Silver’s predictions about Brazil winning the cup were characterised as a disaster. In 2013/14 Premier League when Liverpool nearly won the title in that season, this was considered to be a failure of predictive models. In the middle of February, with the Reds just three-points off top spot, they were still regarded as 17.000 outsiders – a chance of just 5.88% – having begun the campaign at 34.000. They were expected to gain an average of 76 points over the 38 games, but instead finished with 84 and missed the title by two points. One thing to always keep in mind is that all of these prediction models did is giving the probabilities of a win, but they never state precisely that it will happen. According to Silver, Brazil had a 65% chance of arriving to the final. But it also allowed for a 35% probability that Germany would find its way too. 2013/14 Premier League Season: Liverpool Each of the 38 matches gave Liverpool a chance to get 0, 1 or 3 points and the weighted calculations of these expected points from their 38 games gave a sum of 76 points. However, there are always three possible outcomes for the 38 matches and all of them have some likelihood of occurring. Therefore, bettors should always be aware that no single result is a certainty. Range of points won by liverpool in simulations of 2013/2014. Based on quoted match odds for all 38 game. predictive model Soccer betting The graph above suggests that Liverpool would typically gain 76 points in 2013/14. Although this may not be correct, and even with the season completed, the system can only give probabilistic expectations of the assessment of Liverpool’s 2013/14 team. The uncertainty of any predictive process is not only present in the prediction, but also in the data which is used by the bettors to make those predictions. Taking everything into account, bettors should always use the predictive models with care, never rely on them completely and always use them as a balanced betting strategy. predictive model Soccer Betting Resources

Is the first goal in soccer of crucial significance for the final outcome?

August 19, 2018September 19, 2017 by Bet And Win

first goal soccer After scoring the first goal at a soccer match, it is easier to predict the final outcome of the match. This is due to the fact that soccer is a game in which not a lot goals a scored per match. Therefore, the first goal should not be considered as invaluable. But, how can bettors use this information to place valuable bets? In order to bet accordingly, bettors are always able to use historic data in order to predict how likely it is for a team to win a match. Naturally, the most important event in soccer is a goal and in live soccer betting, bettors are able to place money on events they already have background knowledge about and the first goal therefore is of utmost importance for this prediction. Understanding the bet odds and knowing how to bet is the primary skill every bettor should posses. Once these skills are acquired, bettors may move towards learning how to bet on Over/Under and use a Handicap soccer betting strategy. Does the first goal as a rule lead to a win? Not all the teams are equal, but if we look at the last seven seasons from the Premier League, we can see that in 69 % of the matches, the team that scored the first goal also won the match. In 19 % the match ended up in a draw and in 12 % of the games, the team managed to win although was not the first one to score. These stats can be seen in the table below: Proportion of Premier League gamew won, drawn or lost when scoring first by strength of team. 2009/10 to 2015/16 first goal soccer The table shows that if a team from the top four gives the first goal soccer, that team will win the matches in 4 out of 5 occasions. On the contrary, a team from the bottom four will have very bad chances of winning. How important is the team ability in regard of chances for a comeback? If we break down the total percentages of wins, draws or losses we can see that they are completely flipped when a team concedes first: Proportion of Premier League gamew won, drawn or lost when conceding first by strength of team. 2009/10 to 2015/16 According to the table, one team which is among the top four teams will lose in only 6.1 % of the games in which they gave the first goal. On the contrary, a team from the bottom four teams will only win in 6.4 % of the matches in which it leads with the opening first goal. Having all this information in mind, bettors may make reliable predictions about the outcomes of the match based on the first opening goal. Various odds and probabilities after the first goal The odds in a life soccer match are variables which are continuously changing throughout the match and due to different situations within the match. The table below shows the odds that were offered immediately after the first goal. Having this into consideration, we will see the difference between what was predicted to happen after the first goal and the actual outcome of the match. The table shows that a team which was in the first four teams had a difference of only 3 %. This means that the odds that were given to it to win, after it scored the first goal, were 72 % possibility of victory. It turned out that it won in 75 % of the matches. As the best and worst teams are always the easiest to predict, the smallest amount of variations is always within them. If we are seeing this from a bettor’s point of view, it is the most advantageous to bet on a team between the 5th and 8th place, and which lost after they scored the first goal. This is so because the odds implied a probability of 5.9 % higher than the amount of times it actually happened. However, this only happened six times last season and thus it is always very difficult to predict when it will happen. Namely, four of the six times were played away and the two home defeats (for Southampton) were against Manchester United and Chelsea and taken altogether, all these results were expected. What more to have in mind? The most important factors to consider, besides the statistics above, before placing a bet in live soccer betting, based on a first goal, are numerous and they include: whether the side which scored the first plays at home or away, when was the goal scored and how far is the season, because the later in the season, the more risks are taken by the trailing teams. However, relying only on the statistics is not the most reliable option for bettors. However, as with everything, there are always exceptions and the exceptions cannot be predicted. The odds for the home team when it first scored a goal, in the matches between Arsenal and Sawnsea and Tottenham and Newcastle, were 90 % chance of winning. However, a turnover happened, and the other side won in both of the cases. All the information listed above are only one way to help you as a bettor place a valuable bet and they should be always compared to the odds that are offered immediately after the first goal has been scored. first goal soccer Soccer Betting Resources

How to make a live soccer betting strategy?

December 20, 2018September 19, 2017 by Bet And Win

How to make a live soccer betting strategy? How can bettors know where to look for reliable opportunities which may have big returns within soccer matches in progress? Bettors have to always take advantage of market inefficiencies. This means that they should always calculate when the odds do not reflect the true probability. When it comes to live betting, bettors should try and discover those specific areas and exploit these inefficiencies. The notion very often used by commentators ‘it only takes a second to score a goal’ is pretty accurate. Because of the great number of potential goals during a soccer match, the life of a live soccer bettor is quite interesting. Quite the opposite, the number of scored goals from these opportunities is relatively small. According to statistics, goals never come in series and this makes them random also. Therefore, we can never expect one goal to be the trigger for a next one. The job that live bettors need to do is to predict something which is both rare and even more random. Complex statistical models are used by professional bettors and bookmakers. These try to predict goal distribution. However, as football is played by living beings, and not robots, and humans as they are, show various tendencies. The bettor must be able to understand and quantify the impact of those and to recognise when the outcomes that are estimated are not in line with their impact. The data for the Premier League season of 2011/12, over six intervals of 15 minutes, will be analyzed in terms of goal distribution. How to make a live soccer betting strategy? When scoring of goals is more likely to occur? According to Graph 1, goals are more likely to occur as the match progresses and in the period that leas to half time, there is a slight increase. In the final, sixth, interval, the chances of scoring a goal are the highest and almost double that of the first interval. Graph 2 below contains the same data for Reading (up to February 11th 2013). In the final 15 minutes of the match, the rate of scoring increased three times compared to the first 15 minutes and over four times compared to the period between 46-60 minutes. This data show that Reading plays in a slightly different mode than an average teams and therefore it is of great significance to know this information. The information above may affect the live bettor in two completely opposite ways. On the one hand, if a bettor watched Reading play all the time, he may be forced to over-estimate the number of times a team scores near the end of the match. If a bettor has not watched Reading play at all, they may make wrong estimation of how Reading will perform near the end of the game, if they want to place a bet on Reading. Later in the season Reading may start regressing to the mean values of the other teams, but there is still an opportunity to exploit and see what is nehind it, whether it is only a minor deviation from the average or something more significant. Intensity of the game Bettors can access a lot of available data while the game is on, such as 5 possession, shots (on and off target) and corners, which may held define the game intensity. Therefore, they are able to make good assessment of who is leading. However, as they are freely available to everyone, these data should always be used in combination with subjective analysis. A professional bettors should be able to sense where certain odds are over-valuing one team which is playing at an unsustainable pace. Case 1 In the Copa del Rey semi-final between Real Madrid and Barcelona on January 30th at the Bernabeu, in the El Clasico meeting of 2013, Real was superior over Barca in the first half. However, the pace that Real adopted was simply unsustainable. It would have been a huge mistake to bet on Real and to predict the final outcome in the first 45 minutes of the match. Case 2 Champions League 2012 final between Bayern Munich and Chelsea is another example. It also gave misleading stats based purely on possession and interaction. Bayern were superior on one hand, but the other important element was Chelsea’s tactical intention to call for pressure and try to land a lucky counter-punch. They made a game plan, followed it, and won on penalties. If bettors were only following the statistics of the game would have never placed a bet on Chelsea to win the trophy. As seen from everything above, what bettors should always keep in mind is that the intensity of a game is something that is never a constant. The balance of possession can be altered by things like crowd intensity, adrenalin and situational factors, such as: ⦁ Derby games ⦁ Cup games ⦁ Relegation/Promotion battles ⦁ Tournaments Under the above mentioned circumstances, the best thing a bettor could do is to see the game as two separate halves. Even the relatively simple concepts for live soccer betting should encourage bettors to upgrade their knowledge further in order to become more informed in the future. making a live soccer betting strategy